
631 
FNUS54 KMRX 202033
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE 
NORTHEAST ALONG THIS FRONT AND SPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA 
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TO OUR EAST SATURDAY 
EVENING. DRY CONDITIONS...AND WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY...WITH RAIN RETURNING BY SUNDAY NIGHT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+13)  51-56 (+2)   35-40        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 69-74 (+22)  93-98        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            6                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.27         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     S 21         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+12)  51-56 (+5)   35-40        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 69-74 (+15)  91-96        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        W  8 G20     LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            6            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.45         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  53-58 (+10)  36-41        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+15)  67-72 (+1)   92-97        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G26                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     W  8 G25     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            6                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.56         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      SW 30        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+14)  59-64 (+12)  39-44        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  65-70 (-11)  95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G17     NW  6 G19    LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            6                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.62         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      S 29         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+15)  61-66 (+13)  40-45        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  69-74 (-12)  95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G19     LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            6                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.70         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      S 24         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+13)  54-59 (+5)   36-41        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 67-72 (+11)  93-98        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            6                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.34         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      S 21         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+13)  55-60 (+8)   36-41        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 63-68 (+2)   95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.28         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S 28         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
333 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012 /233 PM CST FRI JAN 20 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+13)  58-63 (+10)  37-42        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 59-64 (-9)   95-100       53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            4                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.39         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      S 30         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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