
634 
FNUS54 KMRX 200351 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS TENNESSEE 
...THEN STALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT. 
LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED DUE TO A LACK OF 
MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE 
INCREASING FRIDAY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND...AS A STORM 
SYSTEM DEVELOPS TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND TRACKS NORTHEAST ALONG THE 
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   47-52 (+6)   39-44        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   57-62 (+25)  95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.28         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+9)   46-51 (+8)   39-44        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   58-63 (+25)  95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6         W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.17         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 26         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-210500-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+11)  45-50 (+7)   43-48        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    62-67 (+24)  95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G18    S  6 G18     S  9 G23     SW  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.31         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-210500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+10)  50-55 (+8)   46-51        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+10)  67-72 (+32)  95-100       55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  6 G15     SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.46         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-210500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+9)   52-57 (+9)   47-52        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 68-73 (+35)  95-100       57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.51         0.48         
LAL                   1            1            2            5            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+7)   49-54 (+6)   41-46        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+7)   60-65 (+26)  95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.25         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+9)   48-53 (+6)   43-48        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   62-67 (+25)  95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.38         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210500-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1051 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 /951 PM CST THU JAN 19 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  50-55 (+5)   47-52        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  66-71 (+31)  93-98        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.37         0.42         
LAL                   1            1            2            4            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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