
485 
FNUS54 KMRX 191518 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS TODAY...AS A 
SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL 
MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT...BUT SHOULD NOT 
PRODUCE MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION DUE TO INADEQUATE MOISTURE.
THE CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE INCREASING LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY INTO 
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND...AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE 
MID SOUTH. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  27-32 (+7)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-22)  74-79 (-2)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 12         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   25-30 (+6)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-16)  78-83 (+3)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 14         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-201630-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   27-32 (+8)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-17)  74-79 (-2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  5         SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-201630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   30-35 (+10)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-16)  75-80 (-5)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-201630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   28-33 (+8)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-19)  75-80 (-7)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+10)  27-32 (+7)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-22)  76-81 (-2)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW  7        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  29-34 (+8)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-21)  74-79 (-5)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1018 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 /918 AM CST THU JAN 19 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  32-37 (+10)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-18)  80-85 (+1)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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