
198 
FNUS54 KMRX 190349 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL 
NORMALS ON THURSDAY...WITH A CONTINUED WARMING TREND INTO THE 
WEEKEND. CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN BY FRIDAY EVENING AND 
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   43-48 (+12)  27-32        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  32-37 (-21)  66-71        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-6)   41-46 (+10)  26-31        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-18)  30-35 (-20)  71-76        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        W  8 G17     SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-200500-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-6)   43-48 (+9)   28-33        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-18)  28-33 (-18)  64-69        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G21    SW  9 G20    S  7 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-200500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-8)   49-54 (+10)  30-35        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  25-30 (-20)  68-73        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    SW  5        S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-200500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-8)   50-55 (+10)  29-34        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   24-29 (-21)  67-72        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-7)   45-50 (+11)  27-32        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  29-34 (-22)  70-75        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM                      
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-6)   48-53 (+13)  28-33        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-12)  26-31 (-22)  68-73        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    W  5         S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     S 12         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200500-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1049 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012 /949 PM CST WED JAN 18 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   50-55 (+13)  31-36        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-13)  25-30 (-20)  68-73        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     S 13         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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