
277 
FNUS54 KMRX 180824
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

.DISCUSSION...
MUCH COLDER AIR IS FLOWING INTO THE REGION TODAY. SUNSHINE WILL BE 
LIMITED DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
THIS WILL HELP TO KEEP A CHILL IN THE AIR. JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL 
BE PRESENT FOR THE PRODUCTION OF A FEW SNOW FLURRIES IN THE HIGHER 
TERRAIN MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST 
TENNESSEE. A WARMING TREND IS IN STORE LATER IN THE WEEK. RAIN AND 
POSSIBLY EVEN A RUMBLE OF THUNDER WILL ACCOMPANY THE WARMER AIR AS 
HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK INTO THE 60S OVER THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-21)  19-24 (-6)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   76-81 (-21)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR
30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-19)  18-23 (-7)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  75-80 (-22)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-17)  18-23 (-7)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-25)  74-79 (-23)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      SW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-17)  21-26 (-7)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-23)  73-78 (-24)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G16                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      SW 24        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-16)  20-25 (-8)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-40)  75-80 (-21)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW 22        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-19)  19-24 (-8)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  78-83 (-19)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-21)  22-27 (-5)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   70-75 (-27)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
324 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012 /224 AM CST WED JAN 18 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-20)  23-28 (-5)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-19)  72-77 (-25)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      SW 24        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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