
914 
FNUS54 KMRX 172012
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION AND 
EXIT THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. MODERATE SHOWERS...GUSTY 
WINDS...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ITS PASSAGE. 
SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE 
MOUNTAINS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW BEFORE SUNRISE. 
DRY AND COLDER AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT ON 
WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-16)  33-38 (-20)  18-23        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 40-45 (-9)   80-85        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  7 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SW 26        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-12)  33-38 (-17)  17-22        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 39-44 (-14)  81-86        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G23     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-15)  35-40 (-16)  17-22        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 37-42 (-11)  79-84        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G17                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G26     N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-15)  38-43 (-17)  21-26        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  37-42 (-12)  76-81        17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G22     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SW 20        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  39-44 (-16)  20-25        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  34-39 (-26)  78-83        15-20        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  35-40 (-19)  19-24        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 40-45 (-13)  82-87        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SW 23        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-19)  36-41 (-21)  22-27        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  41-46 (-4)   76-81        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
312 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 /212 PM CST TUE JAN 17 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-20)  38-43 (-21)  23-28        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 39-44 (-11)  75-80        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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