
831 
FNUS54 KMRX 170826
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL 
APPROACH TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...AND GUSTY 
WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS 
TONIGHT...DRY AND COLDER AIR WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR WEDNESDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   24-29 (-16)  32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   93-98 (+9)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G27                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.23         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   25-30 (-11)  31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   91-96 (+7)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 15 G32                 NW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G30    W 12 G23     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.31         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   27-32 (-12)  34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+7)   81-86 (-3)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 17 G37                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G36    W 12 G24     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.35         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   30-35 (-12)  40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   78-83 (-11)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G27                  N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G27    W 11 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.35         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   32-37 (-6)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+18)  79-84 (-12)  24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    W 10 G18     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.39         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   27-32 (-12)  35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   90-95 (+7)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G24                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    W 12 G23     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.27         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 38                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+9)   28-33 (-17)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   83-88 (-4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G25                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    NW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.18         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     N  9         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
326 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012 /226 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+9)   28-33 (-19)  39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+8)   82-87 (-4)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    NW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.19         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     N 10         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

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