
313 
FNUS54 KMRX 160927
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION...WILL 
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. A DEEP 
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL THEN CREATE A WARMING TREND TODAY... 
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE PLAINS. WITH 
TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY RAIN 
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+12)  36-41 (+15)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-12)  85-90 (+10)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW 13 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7 G15    SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 49        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   35-40 (+13)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  85-90 (+11)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      SW 13 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  9 G17     SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 47        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+10)  36-41 (+8)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-15)  89-94 (+18)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  SW 17 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S 11 G21     SW 16 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 48        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 23. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   38-43 (+10)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   95-100 (+25) 53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  S 15 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S 10 G20     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 41        
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   36-41 (+12)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-9)   90-95 (+20)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    SE  8 G16    SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 40        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+11)  37-42 (+15)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-12)  89-94 (+11)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  6        SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 46        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+10)  40-45 (+15)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  89-94 (+18)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW 15 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  8 G17     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SW 45        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
427 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012 /327 AM CST MON JAN 16 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+8)   42-47 (+14)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   88-93 (+19)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  S 14 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     S 10 G19     SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 41        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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