
251 
FNUS54 KMRX 151942
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION...WILL 
GRADUALLY MOVE EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT AND 
MONDAY. A DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW WILL THEN CREATE A WARMING 
TREND ON MONDAY...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM THE 
PLAINS. WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY AND 
TUESDAY...MOSTLY RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ON 
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-5)   45-50 (+11)  35-40        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-20)  38-43 (-8)   82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  SW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     S 11 G24     SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 46        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-5)   43-48 (+9)   34-39        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-14)  38-43 (-8)   81-86        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G21                  SW 14 G29    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G23     S 15 G29     SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW 46        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (0)    42-47 (+8)   34-39        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-9)   39-44 (-7)   85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G28                  SW 19 G41    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G32     S 18 G38     SW 16 G34    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 45        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 
MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 23. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    45-50 (+4)   36-41        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-5)   39-44 (+2)   90-95        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G27                  S 16 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G27     S 15 G30     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      SW 40        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   45-50 (+5)   34-39        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   38-43 (0)    87-92        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G22                 S 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G22    S 12 G22     SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      SW 39        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-7)   46-51 (+10)  36-41        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   38-43 (-7)   85-90        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G16                 SW 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     S  9 G20     SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 45        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 23. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   47-52 (+9)   38-43        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   36-41 (-7)   86-91        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G25                  SW 16 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     S 13 G27     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 44        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012 /140 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   48-53 (+6)   40-45        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   38-43 (-1)   84-89        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G24                  S 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G24     S 13 G24     SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.09         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      1900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      SW 41        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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