
948 
FNUS54 KMRX 150927
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION...BRINGING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL 
ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EARLY TODAY. A WARMING 
TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP TODAY...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE 
NORMAL ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 
BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN BY MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   23-28 (+3)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   72-77 (-4)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S  7 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   24-29 (+3)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  69-74 (-6)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      S 10 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   24-29 (+1)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  70-75 (0)    35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     SW 33        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   23-28 (-4)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-15)  71-76 (+4)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      SW 31        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   21-26 (-6)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-15)  73-78 (+6)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             2                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   21-26 (-2)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   75-80 (+1)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   24-29 (0)    48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  75-80 (+5)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
427 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2012 /327 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   26-31 (-1)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-13)  73-78 (+6)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 35         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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