
381 
FNUS54 KMRX 150220 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND 
SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A 
WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP ON SUNDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING 
ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN BY MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160330-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+4)   35-40 (+3)   22-27        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   43-48 (-2)   72-77        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     S  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 35        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160330-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (+4)   34-39 (+4)   21-26        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   43-48 (-1)   70-75        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       3                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160330-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+6)   35-40 (+3)   22-27        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-13)  40-45 (+1)   70-75        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G29     LGT/VAR      S  5         S 15 G33     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 36        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160330-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+6)   40-45 (+2)   24-29        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-15)  35-40 (-3)   70-75        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SW 31        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160330-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+6)   40-45 (+2)   23-28        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-19)  34-39 (-4)   70-75        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SE 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+2)   37-42 (+3)   23-28        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    40-45 (-5)   72-77        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+6)   39-44 (+2)   25-30        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-8)   39-44 (-4)   70-75        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW 36        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160330-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
920 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2012 /820 PM CST SAT JAN 14 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+6)   42-47 (+1)   27-32        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-18)  35-40 (-4)   66-71        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SW 36        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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