
617 
FNUS54 KMRX 140857
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY COLD AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY. A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE 
OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE 
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY 
NEXT WEEK...WITH A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGING RAIN 
SHOWERS BY TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   21-26 (+4)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  80-85 (+11)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SE  6        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 16        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+7)   20-25 (+5)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  71-76 (+2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     SW  7 G17    W  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 21        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-151000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   19-24 (+6)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-17)  74-79 (+7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 16        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 29. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-151000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   21-26 (+6)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-12)  75-80 (+9)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 15         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-151000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+9)   20-25 (+6)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-14)  75-80 (+7)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 18        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   22-27 (+5)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  73-78 (+5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   22-27 (+6)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  73-78 (+6)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
357 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2012 /257 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   22-27 (+6)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-13)  77-82 (+12)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    W 10 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N 10         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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