
015 
FNUS54 KMRX 130909
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION EARLY TODAY...BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND 
LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL THEN 
DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER FAST MOVING SYSTEM BRINGING A 
FEW SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND 
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-24)  15-20 (-5)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-22)  66-71 (-18)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G24                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     W  8 G17     SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 24         
DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-23)  14-19 (-4)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-23)  68-73 (-20)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 16 G28                  W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     W 10 G20     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      W 29         
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-20)  13-18 (-4)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-24)  71-76 (-7)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G27                  W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W 10 G20     SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 28         
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 17 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-16)  17-22 (-5)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-27)  64-69 (-4)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  7         SW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 23         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-17)  16-21 (-7)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-30)  64-69 (-11)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G21                  W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  8 G15     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 25         
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             1                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-22)  16-21 (-5)   35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-21)  65-70 (-12)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G24                  W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  7 G16     SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 24         
DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-19)  17-22 (-4)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-24)  64-69 (-4)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G20                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  6         SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 23         
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
409 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2012 /309 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-17)  18-23 (-3)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-23)  62-67 (-4)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  6         SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 23         
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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