
215 
FNUS54 KMRX 121958
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT 
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP 
THIS WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER FAST MOVING SYSTEM BRINGING A FEW SNOW 
SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST 
TENNESSEE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-22)  28-33 (-20)  15-20        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   39-44 (-28)  62-67        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G26                  W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G26     W 13 G25     W 10 G18     W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
19 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-21)  27-32 (-19)  14-19        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   40-45 (-29)  63-68        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 17 G30                  W 13 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G30     W 14 G28     W 13 G26     W 13 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
18 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-20)  28-33 (-16)  14-19        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  37-42 (-28)  62-67        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G30                  W 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G32     W 14 G27     W 12 G25     W 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
17 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S 
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO 
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-22)  32-37 (-14)  17-22        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-19)  33-38 (-28)  62-67        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W 10 G20     W  8 G17     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-21)  32-37 (-14)  16-21        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-13)  34-39 (-30)  62-67        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G21                  W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G24     W 11 G20     W  9 G18     W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-23)  30-35 (-19)  16-21        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   37-42 (-27)  62-67        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G26                  W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 13 G25     W  9 G17     W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-23)  32-37 (-16)  17-22        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-21)  34-39 (-26)  62-67        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G22                  W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W 11 G22     W  8 G17     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 /200 PM CST THU JAN 12 2012/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-24)  35-40 (-14)  18-23        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-24)  31-36 (-25)  62-67        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G21                  W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G24     W 10 G20     W  7 G15     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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