
725 
FNUS54 KMRX 120758
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY 
...BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY LINGERING RAIN 
SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW 
ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   18-23 (-19)  26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-17)  95-100 (+1)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G18                 W 16 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G26    W 16 G27     W 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.16         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 36         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   18-23 (-18)  24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-18)  95-100 (+1)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G22                  W 18 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G25    W 17 G32     W 15 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 38         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-130900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   17-22 (-18)  27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-28)  89-94 (-6)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 W 17 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G32    W 18 G35     W 15 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.13         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     W 36         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-130900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   19-24 (-18)  32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-28)  75-80 (-17)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G30    W 16 G29     W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 30         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-130900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    20-25 (-16)  33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-31)  75-80 (-18)  31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 W 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G28    W 16 G28     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 32         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   87 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   19-24 (-19)  29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-22)  95-100 (+4)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G17                 W 16 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G27    W 16 G28     W 13 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.11         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 33         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   19-24 (-19)  29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-24)  83-88 (-9)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 W 14 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G28    W 15 G26     W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           10           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   3 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.09         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 30         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
258 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012 /158 AM CST THU JAN 12 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   19-24 (-19)  32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-27)  80-85 (-10)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G29     W 16 G28     W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 30         
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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