
480 
FNUS54 KMRX 112002
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. A STRONG 
COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON THURSDAY... 
BRINGING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH SOME 
LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY EVENING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   47-52 (-5)   18-23        26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  59-64 (-6)   89-94        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G19                 W 16 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    SW 12 G23    W 15 G26     W 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.17         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 36         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 10 TO 
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS 
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   46-51 (-4)   17-22        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  61-66 (-7)   93-98        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  W 18 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G23    SW 10 G22    W 15 G29     W 16 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.12         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 38         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. WEST WINDS 10 TO 
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS 
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-122100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  45-50 (-6)   17-22        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   55-60 (-17)  81-86        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G21                 W 17 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    SW 15 G29    W 17 G33     W 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.17         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 36         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 19. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS 
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-122100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  47-52 (-7)   18-23        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   53-58 (-15)  71-76        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 W 13 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW 14 G26    W 14 G26     W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.17         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-122100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-13)  47-52 (-6)   18-23        32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   54-59 (-17)  78-83        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 W 14 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW 13 G24    W 14 G26     W 14 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 32         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   87 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   49-54 (-6)   19-24        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   55-60 (-11)  87-92        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 W 16 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G22    SW 12 G23    W 16 G27     W 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.17         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 33         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS 
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   48-53 (-8)   19-24        31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   52-57 (-14)  72-77        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G18                 W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    SW 13 G24    W 14 G24     W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.20         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012 /200 PM CST WED JAN 11 2012/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   48-53 (-8)   19-24        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   50-55 (-17)  68-73        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW 14 G24    W 14 G25     W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.17         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

