
192 
FNUS54 KMRX 110757
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY AND 
TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
EXPECTED AREA-WIDE TODAY WITH SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER 
STORMS. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING USHERING IN COLDER TEMPERATURES ALONG 
WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   39-44 (+1)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+13)  95-100 (+16) 58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SW  8 G19    SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.09         0.12         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO 26. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   37-42 (-5)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+13)  95-100 (+9)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW  8 G19    SW 10 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.16         0.07         0.08         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      W 28         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 13 TO 25. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
TEENS TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   37-42 (-7)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   94-99 (-2)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G21                 SW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW  9 G19    SW 14 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.99         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      W 28         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
14 TO 24. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    39-44 (-9)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-9)   92-97 (-4)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G23                 SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     SW  9 G21    SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 23         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
17 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   40-45 (-9)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-12)  89-94 (-8)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G18                 SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW  7 G15    SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.07         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      W 24         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
18 TO 24. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   39-44 (-3)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+15)  95-100 (+6)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  8 G17    SW 12 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.07         0.08         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
18 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   39-44 (-5)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW  8 G16    SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.06         0.07         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
18 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
257 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012 /157 AM CST WED JAN 11 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   39-44 (-7)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-5)   95-100 (0)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    SW 10 G20    SW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 22         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE
20S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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