
011 
FNUS54 KMRX 102016
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT AHEAD OF A CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. HEAVY RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON 
WEDNESDAY AS THIS LOW MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA. COLDER AIR WILL 
FILTER IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM BRINGING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND 
A CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ON THURSDAY... ESPECIALLY 
AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.    


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   51-56 (-1)   39-44        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    71-76 (+25)  93-98        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G20                 SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     SW  8 G17    SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.86         0.17         0.06         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      SW 25        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 16 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   49-54 (-1)   37-42        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  69-74 (+17)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G24                 W  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  9 G23     W  9 G20     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         1.29         0.13         0.05         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE TEENS TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   50-55 (0)    37-42        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  70-75 (+4)   92-97        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G28                  SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G18    SW  9 G18    W 12 G23     W 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       6            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.92         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS 14 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   54-59 (-2)   39-44        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  70-75 (-1)   92-97        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G18    SW  9 G17    SW  9 G18    SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.67         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 17 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   54-59 (-4)   40-45        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  68-73 (-3)   88-93        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SW  9 G16    W  8 G15     SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.98         0.92         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   67 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   54-59 (+1)   39-44        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  67-72 (+11)  91-96        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW 10 G19    SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.95         0.11         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      SW 25        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   56-61 (+3)   39-44        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  65-70 (+2)   87-92        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    SW  9 G17    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       7            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.68         0.05         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 /216 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2012/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   57-62 (+1)   40-45        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  68-73 (0)    88-93        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    SW  9 G17    SW  9 G16    W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.44         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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