
553 
FNUS54 KMRX 100819
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES
AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... 
WILL SPREAD MORE RAIN NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
LATE TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MUCH COOLER 
AIR WILL FLOW INTO THE REGION THURSDAY...POSSIBLY COLD ENOUGH FOR 
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   40-45 (+5)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-35)  81-86 (-6)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.23         0.83         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 30         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   39-44 (+2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-38)  84-89 (-7)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         1.26         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      S 33         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 25. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-110930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   43-48 (+4)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-28)  84-89 (-4)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.48         0.89         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 31         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-110930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   46-51 (0)    54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-22)  91-96 (+3)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G17    SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.62         0.64         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S 26         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-110930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   47-52 (+2)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-20)  92-97 (+3)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.78         0.89         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 26         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    77 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             6                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   40-45 (+3)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-35)  86-91 (-7)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.92         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     S 26         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    44-49 (+5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-30)  84-89 (-6)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          100          
PRECIP DURATION                    6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.40         0.65         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S 23         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
319 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 /219 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    46-51 (+2)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-21)  87-92 (-3)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5 G16     SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            7            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.62         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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