
662 
FNUS54 KMRX 092046
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP AT LEAST 
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...WITH 
A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY.  THE HEAVIER RAINS AND A 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY 
A DRYING TREND AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102200-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-5)   51-56 (+2)   39-44        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   32-37 (-39)  91-96        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.22         0.51         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102200-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   49-54 (+2)   38-43        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  37-42 (-41)  91-96        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.29         0.65         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      S 22         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102200-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   49-54 (0)    42-47        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+6)   33-38 (-46)  92-97        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.47         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      S 18         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS 11 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102200-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   55-60 (0)    45-50        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    28-33 (-52)  95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.61         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      S 20         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102200-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   56-61 (+1)   46-51        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   26-31 (-51)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.77         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S 20         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MUCH COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   52-57 (+2)   39-44        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  38-43 (-40)  93-98        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.26         0.46         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     SE 17        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   53-58 (0)    42-47        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   34-39 (-40)  92-97        65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         6            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.39         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102200-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
346 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012 /246 PM CST MON JAN 9 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   56-61 (0)    44-49        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  33-38 (-42)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            7            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.61         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO
5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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