
343 
FNUS54 KMRX 090931
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP AT LEAST 
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH EARLY MONDAY NIGHT...WITH 
A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY.  THE HEAVIER RAINS AND A 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY 
COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW AND THEN CLEARING SKIES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    31-36 (-5)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   95-100 (+9)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    33-38 (-5)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+6)   95-100 (+7)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-101030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    35-40 (-5)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+3)   94-99 (+8)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-101030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   39-44 (-5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    95-100 (+2)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-101030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   38-43 (-9)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   95-100 (+4)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   32-37 (-6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   95-100 (+7)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  8        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   34-39 (-7)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+7)   95-100 (+9)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  5        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
431 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012 /331 AM CST MON JAN 9 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   36-41 (-7)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+2)   95-100 (+3)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N  5         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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