
156 
FNUS54 KMRX 082021
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP AT LEAST 
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY WITH A BREAK IN THE 
PRECIPITATION ON TUESDAY.  THE HEAVIER RAINS AND A CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING 
TREND AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+1)   49-54 (0)    29-34        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   67-72 (+10)  95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.08         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   47-52 (0)    30-35        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   74-79 (+8)   95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.12         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-092130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   49-54 (0)    32-37        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   69-74 (+1)   95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.14         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-092130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   55-60 (+3)   36-41        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  69-74 (-6)   95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.16         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW  8        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-092130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   55-60 (+2)   35-40        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  65-70 (-10)  95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.17         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   51-56 (0)    30-35        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  69-74 (+6)   95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.10         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-1)   53-58 (+1)   32-37        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   62-67 (+1)   95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.09         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
321 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012 /221 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   56-61 (+2)   33-38        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  66-71 (0)    95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.14         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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