
634 
FNUS54 KMRX 080943
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP AT LEAST 
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE
HEAVIER RAINS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON
WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ON 
THURSDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   36-41 (+2)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   95-100 (+10) 67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NE  2        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   36-41 (-1)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   95-100 (+3)  73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SE  5        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-091030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   39-44 (0)    49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   95-100 (+5)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.12         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-091030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   41-46 (-3)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+10)  95-100 (+9)  73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.14         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-091030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   43-48 (-1)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+13)  95-100 (+9)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.16         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   36-41 (0)    51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   95-100 (+7)  67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      NE  5        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   39-44 (0)    53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   95-100 (+9)  67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      N  6         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
443 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012 /343 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   43-48 (0)    57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    95-100 (+10) 68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.14         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      W  8         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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