
280 
FNUS54 KMRX 072034
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST REGION 
AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST...WILL COMBINE TO 
PRODUCE SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TONIGHT. RAIN CHANCES LINGER 
OVER THE WEEKEND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AS THE WEAK FRONT 
STALLS IN THE REGION AND A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES 
DEVELOP. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN MILD AND RUN SEVERAL DEGREES 
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082145-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-4)   48-53 (-5)   35-40        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   50-55 (-4)   86-91        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     W  6         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082145-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   46-51 (-5)   35-40        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 55-60 (-3)   95-100       63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.10         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082145-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   48-53 (-3)   39-44        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 63-68 (+4)   95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.12         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082145-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   52-57 (-4)   41-46        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   65-70 (+2)   95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.05         0.14         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082145-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   53-58 (-3)   43-48        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   68-73 (+6)   95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.07         0.16         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+1)   50-55 (-5)   35-40        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   55-60 (-3)   89-94        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.09         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082145-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   51-56 (-5)   38-43        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   54-59 (-5)   88-93        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.10         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082145-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 7 2012 /234 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2012/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    54-59 (-4)   42-47        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   58-63 (-3)   95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.14         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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