
342 
FNUS54 KMRX 071646
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST REGION
AND A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST...WILL COMBINE TO 
PRODUCE SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. THE 
BETTER COVERAGE OF THESE SHOWERS WILL BE OVER SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE 
AND SOUTHWEST PARTS OF NORTH CAROLINA. RAIN CHANCES LINGER OVER THE 
WEEKEND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AS THE WEAK FRONT STALLS IN 
THE REGION AND A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES DEVELOP. EXPECT 
TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN MILD AND RUN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL 
NORMALS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   31-36 (-4)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+20)  91-96 (+3)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW  5        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   34-39 (-1)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+24)  89-94 (+7)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W  9         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-081800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   38-43 (+1)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+30)  88-93 (+8)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.11         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W  8         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-081800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   42-47 (+6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+35)  89-94 (-4)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W  5         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-081800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   43-48 (+9)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+37)  91-96 (-2)   67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.15         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW  7        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   34-39 (+1)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+21)  92-97 (-3)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      N  3         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    36-41 (-3)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+22)  92-97 (0)    52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NE  3        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1146 AM EST SAT JAN 7 2012 /1046 AM CST SAT JAN 7 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   41-46 (0)    54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+24)  91-96 (-3)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.09         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW  3        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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