
031 
FNUS54 KMRX 022014
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

...BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...PRODUCING BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS AND 
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. A WARMING TREND 
WILL THEN DEVELOP BY MID WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-13)  23-28 (-6)   10-15        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   35-40 (-2)   67-72        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G22                 SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 13 G23    NW  6 G18    SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         114 VERY GOOD             28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-13)  21-26 (-6)   10-15        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   35-40 (-2)   63-68        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G28                 SW  7 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    NW 16 G29    NW  9 G27    W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 33                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         117 VERY GOOD             15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-032100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-13)  22-27 (-6)   11-16        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   27-32 (-6)   59-64        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 SW 10 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    NW 12 G23    NW  5 G19    SW 14 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 26         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-032100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-12)  27-32 (-6)   14-19        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   22-27 (-6)   59-64        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G18                 S  7 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    NW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 20         
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-032100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-12)  27-32 (-6)   12-17        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   21-26 (-5)   56-61        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    NW 12 G20    NW  5 G17    SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-12)  25-30 (-7)   11-16        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-5)   29-34 (-5)   67-72        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 SW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G21    NW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-13)  27-32 (-7)   14-19        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-5)   25-30 (-4)   63-68        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 23         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EST MON JAN 2 2012 /215 PM CST MON JAN 2 2012/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-13)  31-36 (-6)   16-21        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-5)   19-24 (-6)   62-67        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G17                 SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W 22         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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