
826 
FNUS54 KMRX 020929
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012


...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA LATER TODAY AND 
TONIGHT...ALONG WITH A SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-22)  12-17 (-13)  23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-17)  78-83 (+3)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     NW 11 G20    W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 26        
DISPERSION            157 VERY GOOD             99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-23)  10-15 (-13)  21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-17)  76-81 (+1)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G29                  NW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     NW 14 G26    W 12 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 31        
DISPERSION            154 VERY GOOD             107 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 16. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-25)  10-15 (-13)  23-28        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-23)  73-78 (+1)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G29                  NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     NW 14 G27    NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      NW 22        
DISPERSION            123 VERY GOOD             55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-21)  14-19 (-12)  28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-31)  66-71 (-7)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G22                 NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     NW 13 G24    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                
PRECIP END                         7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 31                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            149 VERY GOOD             56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-20)  14-19 (-12)  29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-36)  68-73 (-6)   20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G24                 NW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     NW 14 G23    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                
PRECIP END                         7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 33                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            155 VERY GOOD             71 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             1                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-21)  14-19 (-12)  25-30        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-19)  68-73 (-5)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G24                  W 11 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G25     W 12 G21     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 22        
DISPERSION            164 VERY GOOD             83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-22)  15-20 (-13)  27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-16)  64-69 (-4)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G24                  NW  8        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     NW 11 G20    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                
PRECIP END                         7 AM                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 16        
DISPERSION            169 VERY GOOD             59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
429 AM EST MON JAN 2 2012 /329 AM CST MON JAN 2 2012/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  16-21 (-13)  30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-19)  60-65 (-6)   20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G24                 NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    NW 13 G23    NW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 32                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            161 VERY GOOD             53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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