
959 
FNUS54 KMRX 012004
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

.DISCUSSION...
AS A COLD FRONT EXITS THE REGION TO THE EAST...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST 
WINDS WILL INCREASE. THESE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD MUCH 
COLDER AIR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...RESULTING IN 
TEMPERATURES BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK 
WEEK. ALSO...SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA 
FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY ON TUESDAY...WITH ACCUMULATIONS 
ANTICIPATED FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-13)  26-31 (-25)  13-18        21-26        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-4)   41-46 (-10)  75-80        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G24                  NW 12 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G20     W 15 G25     NW 12 G21    NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      NW 28        
DISPERSION                         159 VERY GOOD             96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-14)  25-30 (-25)  10-15        20-25        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   38-43 (-13)  70-75        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G30                  NW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W 17 G30     NW 15 G26    NW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 41                      NW 32        
DISPERSION                         189 VERY GOOD             112 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 16. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-022115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-16)  26-31 (-28)  9-14         24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-15)  29-34 (-25)  78-83        18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G28                  NW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     W 17 G30     NW 15 G28    NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.05         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         157 VERY GOOD             74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 9 TO 18. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-022115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-12)  33-38 (-22)  14-19        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-17)  23-28 (-33)  60-65        16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G24                 NW 11 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW 16 G28    NW 14 G25    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 33                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         158 VERY GOOD             81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 12 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-022115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-10)  32-37 (-22)  13-18        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-17)  23-28 (-38)  61-66        14-19        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 NW 12 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW 16 G28    NW 14 G24    NW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 36                     NW 26        
DISPERSION                         166 VERY GOOD             90 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 18. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-9)   29-34 (-24)  13-18        24-29        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-15)  34-39 (-19)  67-72        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G24                  NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W 15 G26     W 13 G23     NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      NW 24        
DISPERSION                         172 VERY GOOD             93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 17. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-12)  31-36 (-26)  14-19        27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-18)  27-32 (-17)  60-65        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  NW 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W 15 G26     NW 12 G21    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                                      7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         180 VERY GOOD             84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
304 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2012 /204 PM CST SUN JAN 1 2012/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-12)  36-41 (-22)  16-21        29-34        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-24)  23-28 (-21)  57-62        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G25                 NW 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW 16 G27    NW 14 G24    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 35                     NW 22        
DISPERSION                         183 VERY GOOD             92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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