
195 
FNUS54 KMRX 272013
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER AIR WILL BE PULLED INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE 
OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS 
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS 
ANTICIPATED. EXPECT CLEARING CONDITIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A 
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE AREA PRODUCING DRY 
CONDITIONS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-15)  36-41 (-8)   23-28        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-12)  51-56 (-3)   82-87        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-19)  35-40 (-8)   20-25        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   51-56 (+9)   84-89        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G22                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W  9 G19     W  5         SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 28                     W 17         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-19)  37-42 (-7)   21-26        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+14)  48-53 (+6)   82-87        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G28     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
20S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-17)  41-46 (-4)   24-29        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   46-51 (-11)  80-85        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-17)  41-46 (-5)   24-29        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-8)   46-51 (-10)  76-81        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-17)  38-43 (-7)   21-26        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-10)  50-55 (-8)   85-90        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  40-45 (-2)   23-28        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   47-52 (-27)  84-89        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            1 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011 /213 PM CST TUE DEC 27 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-14)  42-47 (-4)   25-30        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   47-52 (-18)  83-88        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            10 PM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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