
657 
FNUS54 KMRX 262006
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CHANCES OF RAIN INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS AN UPPER 
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED BY TUESDAY 
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO 
COLDER AIR BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE 
TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY 
NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+8)   42-47 (-6)   23-28        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+10)  63-68 (+24)  95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  W  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SW 11 G20    W 13 G23     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.25         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+7)   41-46 (-5)   22-27        35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+10)  62-67 (+23)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G28                  NW 11 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G25    W 13 G23     W 18 G32     W  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.24         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-272115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   41-46 (-6)   22-27        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+22)  68-73 (+30)  95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G32                  NW  6 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G30     W 14 G27     W 16 G30     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     FRZ RAIN     SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.22         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-272115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+11)  44-49 (-7)   24-29        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   66-71 (+28)  95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G24    W 11 G22     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.17         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-272115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+11)  43-48 (-10)  24-29        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   66-71 (+30)  95-100       39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G20    W 11 G19     W 12 G23     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.19         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+10)  43-48 (-5)   24-29        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   67-72 (+27)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW 12 G22    W 14 G24     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      FLURRIES     
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.23         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+9)   44-49 (-4)   25-30        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+16)  67-72 (+26)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W 11 G21     W 10 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.18         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EST MON DEC 26 2011 /206 PM CST MON DEC 26 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+11)  46-51 (-4)   26-31        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+7)   66-71 (+25)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    W 10 G20     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            3                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.11         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

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