
358 
FNUS54 KMRX 250731
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES PRODUCING 
A CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHWEST 
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.  HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION 
SUNDAY NIGHT. A LARGER AND STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING 
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS EXPECTED BY MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   25-30 (-3)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-16)  78-83 (+8)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      N  8         
DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   22-27 (-4)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-17)  82-87 (+2)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      N  9         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-260845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   21-26 (-6)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   88-93 (+12)  12-17        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM                                  
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NE  5        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...BREEZY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-260845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   22-27 (-6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   84-89 (+3)   13-18        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NE  6        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-260845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    21-26 (-7)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   86-91 (+1)   11-16        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NE  5        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   24-29 (-3)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  82-87 (+1)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NE  6        
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   24-29 (-5)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   82-87 (+4)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM                                  
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NE  7        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
231 AM EST SUN DEC 25 2011 /131 AM CST SUN DEC 25 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   25-30 (-5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   82-87 (+1)   20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      1 PM         
PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      E 10         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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