
647 
FNUS54 KMRX 241948
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH ALABAMA AND
GEORGIA ON CHRISTMAS DAY...RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TN VALLEY AND SOUTHWESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. A
LARGER AND STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING
CHANCES OF RAIN BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
EXPECTED BY MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN MUCH TOO WARM FOR ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   52-57 (+7)   26-31        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-23)  23-28 (-20)  64-69        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      E  5         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   51-56 (+6)   23-28        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-9)   22-27 (-24)  66-71        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     W 11 G23     SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      SE  5        
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-252100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   51-56 (+5)   22-27        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-13)  15-20 (-32)  69-74        7-12         
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  7 G17     SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SE  7        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-252100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   55-60 (+4)   22-27        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   19-24 (-29)  76-81        11-16        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                      1 PM         
PRECIP END                         7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SE  8        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-252100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   57-62 (+4)   21-26        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-9)   17-22 (-30)  77-82        8-13         
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                      1 PM         
PRECIP END                         7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SE  8        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   53-58 (+6)   24-29        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-12)  24-29 (-22)  71-76        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        W  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      E  6         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   53-58 (+5)   26-31        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-9)   24-29 (-21)  72-77        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      E  8         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EST SAT DEC 24 2011 /148 PM CST SAT DEC 24 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   54-59 (+4)   27-32        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   25-30 (-17)  75-80        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM                      1 PM         
PRECIP END                         7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      E  8         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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