
367 
FNUS54 KMRX 220938
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST 
TODAY AND SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. 
THIS SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION SHOULD SHOULD EXIT THE 
BY FRIDAY MORNING AND LEAD TO DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    40-45 (-3)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   95-100 (+10) 61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.43         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   42-47 (-2)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-6)   95-100 (+6)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G18     SW 10 G19    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.49         0.03         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-231030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    40-45 (-5)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-9)   95-100 (+13) 42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G26    W 10 G29     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.33         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-231030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   41-46 (-6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-10)  95-100 (+6)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G23     W  8 G24     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.28         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     N  9         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-231030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   42-47 (-5)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-9)   95-100 (+2)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     SW  9 G20    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.32         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     N  9         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   40-45 (-4)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   95-100 (+9)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.39         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   39-44 (-6)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-9)   95-100 (+12) 52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     N  7         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
438 AM EST THU DEC 22 2011 /338 AM CST THU DEC 22 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   39-44 (-7)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-9)   95-100 (+11) 47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G20    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.81         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      N 10         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TD/SON

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