
051 
FNUS54 KMRX 212022
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS ONE 
SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION AND THE NEXT APPROACHES. AN AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND 
SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS 
SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION SHOULD SHOULD EXIT THE BY 
FRIDAY MORNING AND LEAD TO DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   58-63 (0)    39-44        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   68-73 (-4)   95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G16     S  5         W 10 G22     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.40         0.38         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   58-63 (-1)   42-47        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  64-69 (-7)   95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G20     S  7 G19     SW 12 G25    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            9 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.42         0.40         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   58-63 (0)    39-44        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   65-70 (-11)  95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G23    S 11 G29     W 12 G30     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.61         0.49         0.05         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   62-67 (+1)   40-45        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    68-73 (-12)  95-100       38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    S 11 G25     W 11 G25     N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.78         0.48         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      N  9         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   63-68 (+2)   41-46        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  70-75 (-9)   95-100       35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  9 G20     SW  9 G20    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.89         0.54         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      N  9         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   61-66 (0)    40-45        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+8)   66-71 (-7)   95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     LGT/VAR      W 11 G23     NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.45         0.39         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-5)   60-65 (0)    39-44        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   66-71 (-10)  95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5 G17     NW  9 G20    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    4            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.62         0.26         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      N  7         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
322 PM EST WED DEC 21 2011 /222 PM CST WED DEC 21 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   62-67 (0)    39-44        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   64-69 (-13)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G21     NW  8 G21    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.83         0.22         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      N 10         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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