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250 
FNUS54 KMRX 211628 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS 
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. 
THE SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING...THEN REDEVELOP ON
THURSDAY AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+7)   42-47 (-5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+10)  93-98 (+10)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       5                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.00         0.25         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 38                     SW 18        
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   42-47 (-3)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+13)  95-100 (+6)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G24    W  7 G20     S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       7                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     SW 20        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221730-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+8)   44-49 (-2)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   87-92 (-7)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G34                  SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G33    SW  8 G23    S  8 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       7            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.01         0.58         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 41                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+9)   46-51 (-3)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-2)   92-97 (-2)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    SW  6 G16    S  8 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       7            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.03         0.82         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     SW 24        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+11)  46-51 (-3)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   94-99 (0)    63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      S  7 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       7            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.04         0.78         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SW 23        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   8 POOR       
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+8)   41-46 (-5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+10)  95-100 (+8)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       5                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.00         0.29         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221730-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+7)   43-48 (-7)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   92-97 (+7)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       4                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM         
PRECIP END            7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.00         0.76         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221730-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1128 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011 /1028 AM CST WED DEC 21 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+7)   45-50 (-7)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-11)  95-100 (+2)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G20                  S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.03         0.82         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     S 26         
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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