
550 
FNUS54 KMRX 201956
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS 
THE AREA TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS AN 
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRAVERSES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. A 
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO 
MORE SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+14)  60-65 (+8)   42-47        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+9)   58-63 (+9)   85-90        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW 13 G24    SW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.35         0.00         0.40         
LAL                   3            3            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+16)  59-64 (+8)   42-47        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+13)  59-64 (+9)   84-89        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     SW 12 G23    W  8 G22     S  6 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.36         0.00         0.34         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+17)  58-63 (+7)   44-49        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+12)  55-60 (-3)   77-82        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 15 G32                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G24     SW 15 G32    SW  9 G22    SW  7 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.51         0.00         0.76         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 41                     SW 25        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+16)  61-66 (+7)   45-50        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+10)  56-61 (-9)   84-89        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G25                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    SW 13 G25    SW  8 G17    S  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.55         0.02         0.94         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+19)  61-66 (+6)   44-49        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+7)   56-61 (-10)  89-94        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW 11 G21    SW  8 G15    S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.51         0.02         0.89         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     SW 26        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   7 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+15)  61-66 (+8)   41-46        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   55-60 (0)    85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G24    SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       3            5                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.39         0.00         0.49         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1700                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+14)  61-66 (+8)   43-48        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+6)   54-59 (-2)   83-88        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G18     SW 11 G23    SW  6        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5                         5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.49         0.00         0.96         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
256 PM EST TUE DEC 20 2011 /156 PM CST TUE DEC 20 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  62-67 (+6)   45-50        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   50-55 (-15)  86-91        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW 10 G21    SW  5        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.48         0.03         1.23         
LAL                   3            3            1            2            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      1300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     SW 24        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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