
626 
FNUS54 KMRX 200848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE 
TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME 
INCREASINGLY WARM AND MOIST. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES BY THIS 
AFTERNOON WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TONIGHT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   45-50 (+12)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   90-95 (+22)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.23         0.35         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 37        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   46-51 (+17)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   90-95 (+17)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.21         0.36         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 31        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   46-51 (+17)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+24)  89-94 (+17)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW 13 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     S  9 G21     SW 12 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.31         0.51         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   49-54 (+17)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+34)  95-100 (+12) 59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  9 G19     SW  9 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.38         0.55         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 30        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   47-52 (+18)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+36)  95-100 (+9)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  7        SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.38         0.51         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 29        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   46-51 (+16)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+13)  88-93 (+6)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.26         0.39         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   48-53 (+14)  60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+26)  89-94 (+8)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.37         0.49         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 33        
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
348 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011 /248 AM CST TUE DEC 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   49-54 (+12)  60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+34)  95-100 (+9)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  9 G18     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.48         0.48         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 31        
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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