
738 
FNUS54 KMRX 191950
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE 
MOVES TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE 
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT BRIEFLY 
FOR THE LATTER PORTIONS OF WEDNESDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES WILL AGAIN INCREASE FOR THURSDAY 
NIGHT...THEN TAPER OFF EARLY FRIDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONAL 
TEMPERATURES PREVAILING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+7)   53-58 (+2)   47-52        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+7)   39-44 (+11)  89-94        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6 G16    SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.19         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 35        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   53-58 (+5)   48-53        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+17)  36-41 (+8)   80-85        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   53-58 (+4)   49-54        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+19)  48-53 (+21)  82-87        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     SW  6 G16    S 10 G25     SW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.32         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 35        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   56-61 (+3)   49-54        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 55-60 (+31)  94-99        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  8 G17     S 10 G23     SW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.43         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   57-62 (+3)   49-54        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 57-62 (+37)  95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  7         SE  8 G17    SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.41         0.54         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   26 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+7)   55-60 (+3)   45-50        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+7)   45-50 (+16)  89-94        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.22         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   55-60 (+2)   48-53        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+15)  53-58 (+22)  88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6         SE  6 G16    SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.40         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EST MON DEC 19 2011 /150 PM CST MON DEC 19 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   57-62 (+3)   50-55        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 61-66 (+33)  93-98        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7 G15     S  8 G17     SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.50         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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