
460 
FNUS54 KMRX 160323 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS COLD 
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. EXPECT RAIN ON FRIDAY AS AN UPPER AIR 
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL RETURN 
FOR THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170430-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    45-50 (-15)  30-35        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 72-77 (+16)  95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      N  5         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.33         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170430-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   46-51 (-11)  30-35        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+5)   67-72 (+13)  95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.35         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170430-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   46-51 (-9)   30-35        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  72-77 (+5)   95-100       30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.37         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 29. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170430-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   51-56 (-7)   33-38        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  75-80 (+2)   95-100       29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        N  6         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.35         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170430-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  53-58 (-5)   35-40        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   76-81 (+1)   95-100       24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         NW  5        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.29         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170430-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   47-52 (-15)  31-36        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  69-74 (+12)  95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  5         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.39         0.08         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170430-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   46-51 (-15)  31-36        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  73-78 (+9)   95-100       43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.40         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170430-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1023 PM EST THU DEC 15 2011 /923 PM CST THU DEC 15 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   49-54 (-12)  32-37        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  68-73 (+2)   95-100       40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  6         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.40         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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