
776 
FNUS54 KMRX 150827
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. 
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON 
THROUGH TONIGHT. MILD TEMPERATURES BE THE RULE AGAIN TODAY WITH A 
STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   40-45 (-1)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+16)  95-100 (+6)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    SW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.17         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   42-47 (+3)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+10)  95-100 (+8)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W  9         
DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   44-49 (+4)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   95-100 (+15) 72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G25    SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.21         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   48-53 (+9)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+8)   91-96 (0)    70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.26         0.36         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     W  8         
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   48-53 (+11)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   91-96 (-4)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   43-48 (+5)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+10)  92-97 (-2)   65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    SW  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.15         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   43-48 (+1)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+7)   95-100 (+10) 64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.26         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     N  7         
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
327 AM EST THU DEC 15 2011 /227 AM CST THU DEC 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   45-50 (+2)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+6)   95-100 (+10) 64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.34         0.42         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     NE  6        
DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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