
740 
FNUS54 KMRX 150330 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY 
THURSDAY...AND INTO FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO NEAR NORMAL BY 
THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160430-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   58-63 (-5)   42-47        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  61-66 (+20)  95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G20                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    SW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.24         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 43                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         117 VERY GOOD             18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160430-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   56-61 (-3)   43-48        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   59-64 (+15)  93-98        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.16         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         109 VERY GOOD             12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160430-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   55-60 (-2)   45-50        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   61-66 (+10)  95-100       76-81        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G23                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    SW  6 G19    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.25         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160430-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   60-65 (0)    48-53        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  58-63 (+9)   90-95        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  5        N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.26         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     N  7         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160430-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+3)   62-67 (+2)   48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  57-62 (+8)   90-95        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.21         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   10 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160430-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   60-65 (-2)   44-49        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  54-59 (+9)   93-98        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.25         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160430-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   59-64 (-2)   44-49        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   60-65 (+9)   95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.29         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160430-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1030 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011 /930 PM CST WED DEC 14 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   60-65 (0)    46-51        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (+6)   95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.32         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     N 10         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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