
573 
FNUS54 KMRX 141527 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AS HIGH  
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. A COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON THURSDAY 
BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   43-48 (+7)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   83-88 (-10)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 39        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   42-47 (+5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   84-89 (+1)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W 36         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-151630-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   41-46 (+2)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   85-90 (+2)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 37        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-151630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   42-47 (+5)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  86-91 (-8)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  5         S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-151630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   39-44 (+5)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  91-96 (-4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 29        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS NEAR
40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+8)   41-46 (+7)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   87-92 (-9)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 37        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+9)   44-49 (+7)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-11)  84-89 (-11)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1027 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011 /927 AM CST WED DEC 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   44-49 (+6)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-12)  93-98 (-1)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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