
977 
FNUS54 KMRX 062046
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHEAST 
KENTUCKY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST THEN STALL 
BRIEFLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW 
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT...AND MOVE NORTHEAST 
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL FINALLY PUSH THE COLD FRONT EAST OF 
THE REGION...FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER AIR AND A CHANCE OF SNOW 
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072200-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   41-46 (-17)  20-25        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  82-87 (+6)   95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.85         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072200-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-6)   41-46 (-16)  19-24        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  77-82 (-1)   94-99        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G23    NW 14 G29    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.70         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-072200-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   40-45 (-15)  20-25        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  76-81 (-12)  94-99        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G22    NW 11 G27    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.59         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-072200-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  43-48 (-16)  22-27        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  77-82 (-7)   89-94        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    NW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.50         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-072200-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   44-49 (-14)  22-27        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  75-80 (-14)  87-92        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.47         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW 20        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   43-48 (-17)  21-26        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  76-81 (+1)   91-96        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.75         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072200-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-9)   41-46 (-16)  22-27        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  74-79 (-2)   93-98        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    NW  7 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.62         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072200-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
346 PM EST TUE DEC 6 2011 /246 PM CST TUE DEC 6 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  43-48 (-16)  23-28        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   70-75 (+2)   88-93        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 11 G21    NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            6            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.46         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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