
705 
FNUS54 KMRX 060755
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST TODAY...THEN STALL BRIEFLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT TONIGHT...AND MOVE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL FINALLY PUSH THE COLD FRONT EAST OF THE
REGION...FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER AIR AND A CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-070900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   41-46 (-8)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+13)  95-100 (+5)  72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            7            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.29         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 10         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY.
LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-070900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   41-46 (-6)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   95-100 (+4)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            7            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.50         0.59         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 20        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY.
LOWS 16 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-070900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   40-45 (-7)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+22)  95-100 (+3)  72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G23    LGT/VAR      NW  5 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            7            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.48         0.57         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 18        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 13 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-070900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    42-47 (-10)  45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+14)  95-100 (+5)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            7            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.47         0.51         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

NCZ060-061-070900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   44-49 (-8)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+19)  95-100 (+4)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            7            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.44         0.52         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-070900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   42-47 (-7)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+13)  95-100 (+3)  67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        NW  5        NW  6 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            7            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.41         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W  9         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 26. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-070900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   40-45 (-9)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+11)  95-100 (+2)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            7            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.30         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-070900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011 /155 AM CST TUE DEC 6 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   40-45 (-11)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   95-100 (+2)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.42         0.46         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  5        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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