
095 
FNUS54 KMRX 052013
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST THROUGH TONIGHT...AND 
BEGIN TO STALL ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS ON TUESDAY. MODERATE TO 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TONIGHT SHOULD DIMINISH IN INTENSITY BY TUESDAY. 
AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS OF AROUND 1 INCHES ARE EXPECTED  WITH THIS 
SYSTEM...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND 
PLATEAU.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   55-60 (-1)   42-47        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   73-78 (+15)  95-100       77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.34         0.26         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   55-60 (0)    42-47        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  71-76 (+4)   95-100       70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.36         0.39         0.53         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   53-58 (-3)   41-46        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  78-83 (+19)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.37         0.43         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   56-61 (-3)   44-49        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   76-81 (+12)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.38         0.42         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   56-61 (-3)   46-51        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  75-80 (+9)   95-100       68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.41         0.39         0.39         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   56-61 (-3)   43-48        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   73-78 (+16)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.34         0.35         0.35         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   54-59 (-4)   42-47        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  75-80 (+14)  95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.25         0.25         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW  6        
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
313 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011 /213 PM CST MON DEC 5 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   54-59 (-6)   41-46        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   74-79 (+7)   95-100       67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.22         0.30         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW  5        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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