
297 
FNUS54 KMRX 050823
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT OVER WEST TENNESSEE AND WESTERN KENTUCKY...WILL MOVE 
SLOWLY EAST THROUGH TONIGHT...AND BEGIN TO STALL ACROSS THE 
APPALACHIANS TUESDAY. SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY WORK EAST AND REACH
THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU BY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE
REST OF THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TONIGHT SHOULD DIMINISH IN INTENSITY BY
TUESDAY. AVERAGE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   45-50 (+3)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+26)  95-100 (+9)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S  8 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.32         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      NE  5        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    45-50 (+6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+22)  95-100 (+3)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  SW  5 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     S 11 G22     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.36         0.50         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      S  8         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-060930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   44-49 (+3)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+16)  95-100 (+10) 70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G28                  SW  5 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     S 11 G26     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.42         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-060930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   48-53 (+4)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+16)  95-100 (+1)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     S 11 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.47         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-060930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   49-54 (+4)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+19)  95-100 (+4)  68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G20                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SE  8 G16    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.44         0.52         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   45-50 (+3)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+19)  95-100 (+5)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  6 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.36         0.42         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      N  3         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   45-50 (+2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+16)  95-100 (+9)  69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.53         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
323 AM EST MON DEC 5 2011 /223 AM CST MON DEC 5 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+3)   46-51 (+1)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+14)  95-100 (+6)  73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.60         0.29         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 38                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            109 VERY GOOD             10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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