
556 
FNUS54 KMRX 042024
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. SHOWERS REACH THE REGION BY 
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND 
COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 
1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE 
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   54-59 (-3)   46-51        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+28)  63-68 (+31)  94-99        63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.31         0.50         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   54-59 (-1)   44-49        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+36) 61-66 (+21)  95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G20    S  8 G15     S  8 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.13         0.59         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   54-59 (+2)   44-49        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+39)  61-66 (+18)  95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  8 G16     S  8 G17     W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.25         0.71         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      SW 20        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   57-62 (+1)   48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+28) 64-69 (+15)  95-100       72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G21    S 10 G20     SE  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.29         0.78         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  57-62 (0)    48-53        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+23) 65-70 (+19)  95-100       77-82        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    SE  8 G16    SE  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.19         0.68         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+8)   57-62 (0)    45-50        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 59-64 (+18)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.29         0.58         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   58-63 (+2)   47-52        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+21)  62-67 (+16)  92-97        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G20                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S  8 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.63         0.51         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
324 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2011 /224 PM CST SUN DEC 4 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   59-64 (+2)   47-52        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 64-69 (+12)  94-99        75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    S  9 G20     LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.68         0.58         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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