
165 
FNUS54 KMRX 040828
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THROUGH TONIGHT...PROVIDING DRY CONDITIONS. SHOWERS RETURN TO 
THE REGION BY LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...AS A LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACH FROM THE WEST. RAINFALL TOTALS 
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THIS PERIOD...ESPECIALLY ACROSS 
THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   40-45 (+6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   89-94 (+26)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  5        S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 23         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   37-42 (+4)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+11)  95-100 (+35) 60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SE  9 G20    S  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 24         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   38-43 (+5)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+23)  91-96 (+38)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  S  9 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  9 G20     S  9 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 26         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   40-45 (+8)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+27)  95-100 (+25) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G22                 S 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SE 10 G21    S  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 26         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   39-44 (+11)  58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+28)  95-100 (+21) 62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G19                 S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G18    SE  9 G18    S  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 25         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   38-43 (+8)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  95-100 (+21) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5        S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 20         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   41-46 (+8)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+17)  89-94 (+18)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  S  7 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     SE  5        S  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 26         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
328 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2011 /228 AM CST SUN DEC 4 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   44-49 (+7)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+26)  92-97 (+14)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     SE  8 G19    S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      S 26         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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