
536 
FNUS54 KMRX 282014
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PROGRESS NORTHWARD THROUGH 
THE AREA...PRODUCING PERSISTENT RAINFALL WITH SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS 
TONIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY... 
WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW BY TUESDAY NIGHT. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE 
EXPECTED IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DUE TO THE WARM GROUND...BUT LIGHT 
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 2500 FEET.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-15)  42-47 (-20)  29-34        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 58-63 (+5)   86-91        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G23    SW  7        SW  9 G17    W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.88         0.07         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-15)  39-44 (-20)  28-33        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 57-62 (0)    88-93        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G36    SW  6 G15    W  6 G15     W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.24         0.11         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-292100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-20)  35-40 (-20)  26-31        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  69-74 (-9)   92-97        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G25     SW  6        SW 10 G22    W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.15         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S 
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-292100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-19)  37-42 (-21)  27-32        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  70-75 (-7)   92-97        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G17                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     SW  8        SW 10 G19    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.20         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-292100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-21)  36-41 (-24)  26-31        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   69-74 (-4)   93-98        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9                      W  9         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SW  8        SW  9 G16    NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.21         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   30 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-15)  42-47 (-20)  30-35        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 57-62 (-5)   86-91        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W 11 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G21    SW  6        SW  8 G15    W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.09         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-12)  40-45 (-16)  29-34        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  61-66 (-19)  88-93        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     SW  8 G15    SW  9 G17    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.14         0.05         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 18         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011 /215 PM CST MON NOV 28 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  39-44 (-14)  28-33        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   66-71 (-15)  89-94        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10                      W  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G17     SW  9        W  9 G18     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.19         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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