
133 
FNUS54 KMRX 271927
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY 
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING WINDY CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL 
THAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL 
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS TEMPERATURES DROP 
BELOW NORMAL WITH THE ENTRY OF A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS BEHIND 
THIS SYSTEM.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   61-66 (-2)   42-47        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+14)  64-69 (+16)  95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G25                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SE 14 G26    SE 17 G30    S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.56         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 33                     S 16         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    59-64 (-3)   38-43        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 63-68 (+10)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 16 G29                 S  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G32    SE 16 G33    SE 19 G38    S  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.33         1.01         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 38                     S 20         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   55-60 (-5)   34-39        37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 71-76 (+8)   95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 16 G34                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G37     SE 18 G39    S 15 G39     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.16         0.59         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 41                     S 15         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   55-60 (-8)   35-40        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 68-73 (+2)   95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G33                 S  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G29     SE 16 G34    S 11 G22     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.63         0.38         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 43                     S 16         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   57-62 (-6)   36-41        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+13)  62-67 (-7)   94-99        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 16 G30                 S  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G26    SE 17 G30    S 10 G21     S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.85         0.46         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 41                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   90 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   61-66 (-5)   41-46        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+13)  63-68 (+13)  93-98        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G24                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G21    E 13 G25     SE 14 G26    SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.55         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 32                     S 13         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   54-59 (-10)  37-42        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 66-71 (+7)   95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G19                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E 11 G21     S 11 G22     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.35         0.61         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 29                     S 14         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
227 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011 /127 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   48-53 (-15)  35-40        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 77-82 (+11)  95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6 G15                  S  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        SE  9 G20    S 10 G19     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.63         1.44         0.17         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 28                     S 15         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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